Managing Project Risks (Part 1): Don't Be Snared by These 6 Common Traps

When your enterprise decides to undertake a newTo complicate matters, people often feel pressured
endeavor -- whether it's designing a new trainingto further "reduce the truth" -- that is, to minimize
program, planning a new service, or revamping anwhatever their already low calculations tell them it
existing product -- this endeavor is called a project. Itshould take when they put together a bid. Whenever
involves people, funding, resources, schedules,management pushes people to underestimate this
requirements, testing, fine tuning, and deployment,way -- perhaps for fear of losing the project -- the
plus a host of other activities.risks can easily overwhelm and even destroy the
You may have seen this phenomenon by now:project's success.
projects are risk magnets. Why is that?4. Project requirements are typically fuzzy at the
There appear to be several factors involved.beginning.
Managing project risk is a process that seems to beWhether you're talking to a client, your boss, your
poorly understood by business owners and projectcolleagues, or your clients to figure out what the
managers. As a result, projects frequently experienceproject should produce, whatever they say initially
problems with understaffing, schedule overruns, costmay sound as clear as a bell in some areas but very
overruns, and unmet requirements. This article (thesketchy in others. Getting clarification on the fuzzy
first of a series) explains six common traps that,parts might entail many conversations with many
when not fully recognized, can lead to unpleasantpeople, and much more time than anybody ever
surprises.imagined.
Here's what I've observed over many years as both5. Requirements invariably shift over time.
a project leader and participant:The minute after you've cemented the requirements
1. Each project differs in some way, shape, or formwith everyone's agreement, "scope creep" begins.
from the last one.This means that the project needs may expand,
If all your projects were exactly the same, you couldshrink, or morph into something altogether different!
simply use a cookie-cutter approach to crank 'em outThese situations arise because the very act of
without losing any sleep at night. Although projectscreating something new can produce a result (or a
may share some similarities, a new project could veryseries of results) that may exceed or differ from
easily introduce several new, unfamiliar elements thatwhat people were capable of imagining at the start.
can completely throw off your sense of balance -And even when the team guards against it, pressure
often without your even realizing it until it's too late.to include "add-ons" can stretch the scope beyond its
2. Projects are often constrained by finite conditions.limits.
Initially, you might hear limitations such as, "We only6. Nearly everything else about the project is
have $1,200 and three weeks to have you completedynamic!
all 18 training modules for this project." (What? You'reAside from the requirements changing, many other
thinking that based on the requirements you've heardthings can stop, start, or fluctuate during the project.
so far, this project should take a year and a half andExperienced people may leave and new people may
cost three hundred grand!)come on board. Budgets could get chopped.
Speaking of constraints, it's not unusual for projectSchedules might get slashed or -- sometimes even
sponsors or clients to ask for 1) low cost and 2) fastworse -- delayed. Resources may evaporate or not
completion and 3) high quality and 4) many featuresmaterialize in the right forms. Politics can sneak in and
in the final project deliverables. Although it'sremove support, or require skipping critical steps such
understandable to want the greatest value for theas testing. The list goes on and on.
money, unless the project is blessed with an infiniteStudies of failed projects have revealed how difficult
schedule and an unlimited budget, tradeoffs becomeit can be to detect all of the red flags in advance.
necessary.Unbridled optimism can block everyone's ability to see
Usually it's only possible to achieve two or three outclearly. Yet turning down an iffy project may be
of four of these goals on a typical project. Thebetter than letting egos rule.
tradeoffs might constrain the number of features,What to do? As we've seen, projects can involve
limit the quality, or both.several highly dynamic variables. They often operate
3. People chronically underestimate their time andunder tight budgets and schedules. People tend to
effort.miscalculate time, effort, and resources.
Whether it's because of a perceived social stigma orRequirements frequently expand, shrink, or change.
a cloudy crystal ball, people typically have a difficultAnd shifting circumstances can pull the rug out from
time deriving realistic project estimates. Given theunder everyone's plans. Add these together and
number of project unknowns, coming up withmany projects will cook up a recipe for failure.
accurate predictions can be tricky. (Smart projectBut it doesn't have to be that way. You and your
managers know this and frequently add buffersteam can learn to avoid project pitfalls by paying
derived from records of actual past experience,close attention to the cause-and-effect relationships
commonly known as "fudge factors," to project bids.)among these six important keys!